Tuesday, October 27, 2009
Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED) National Weather South Moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms can be expected along the Gulf Coast states and into Georgia. Rain will continue to fall along the East Coast from the Mid-Atlantic States to central Florida through Wednesday. Areas from the lower Mississippi Valley to the Carolina coast could pick up 1 to 2 inches of rain, with some areas receiving 3 to 4 inches locally. Localized flooding is possible across the Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley, northern Georgia and the western Carolinas. Temperatures will range from the upper 50s to middle 60s in the northern areas while temperatures in the southern portions will be mainly in the mid 70s and upper 80s across Florida.Northeast Showers are expected inland from northern and eastern Virginia northward through eastern Maryland, Delaware, southern New Jersey, and southeastern Pennsylvania this morning. 1 to 2 inches of rain are possible from southern Virginia north to southeastern Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey through Wednesday morning with up to 3 inches possible along the coast. Rain, sleet and snow showers are possible for northern New York and northern New England. High temperatures will range from the middle 30s in northern and eastern Maine to the lower to middle 60s along the southern coastal plain.Midwest Rain will spread into the middle Mississippi Valley and the Ohio Valley by this afternoon, with some locally heavy rain possible by nightfall in the Ohio Valley. The rain will slowly move northward into lower Great Lakes tonight and Wednesday. On Wednesday a major storm will move into the Dakotas with some light rain showers. Cold air may change the rain over to snow over the western parts of North and South Dakota by Wednesday evening, with accumulating snow possible Wednesday night. The major storm moving out of the Rockies and into the Plains Thursday will bring heavy rain and damaging thunderstorms to a large area from southern Kansas through eastern Texas.West A major storm system will enter the Northwest today producing rain, snow, and very blustery winds across a large portion of the Northwest. Low-elevation rain and mountain snow will continue to spread eastward into the northern Rockies. Widespread snow is expected to impact the western U.S. behind the frontal system now moving inland. More than a foot of heavy snow is expected over the higher elevations of the Washington and Oregon Cascades and Wyoming and Utah. Temperatures will plunge behind the front, dropping the freezing level and creating conditions favorable for widespread snow as far south as central Arizona on Wednesday. Temperatures may drop as much as 30 degrees behind the front. High winds will also be prevalent across much of the desert southwest as a result of this system.Wind advisories and high wind watches have been posted across parts of the region in anticipation of strong winds today and Wednesday. Sustained winds of 20 to 40 mph, with gusts of 60 to 80 mph, are possible over parts of Wyoming, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California.(NOAA s National Weather Service, Various Media Sources) NOAA Prepares Citizens for Possible El Ni o Impacts in Hawaii and the Pacific NOAA climate experts say the strengthening El Ni o could mean a greater chance of late-season tropical cyclone development in the central Pacific, more high surf and less rainfall for the Hawaiian Islands during the upcoming wet season, which normally runs from October through April. Following the hurricane season, the presence of El Ni o is expected to bring drier than normal conditions for the remainder of the wet season, said Kevin Kodama, senior service hydrologist at NOAA s Honolulu Forecast Office. Drier than normal conditions will worsen existing severe to extreme drought over portions of the State if early wet season rainfall in October and November does not materialize. Current sea surface temperatures and computer models point to a continued strengthening of El Ni o conditions through the upcoming winter season. The central Pacific has already seen an above average number of tropical cyclones during this year s hurricane season. An El Ni o has the potential to create conditions that are ripe for tropical systems to develop near the end of the hurricane season.The Territories of Guam and American Samoa and the U.S.-affiliated Pacific Islands are also subject to weather extremes during El Ni o. (NOAA, Oct 20, 2009) Puerto Rico Petrochemical Storage Facility Fire Final Update An explosion and fire at a petrochemical storage facility near San Juan, Puerto Rico on October 23 was extinguished October 25, 2009. Located in the City of Cantano, 21 of 40 storage tanks containing diesel, gasoline, fuel oil, jet fuel, and other petroleum products were damaged - 17 burned and 4 collapsed. fema-3306-EM-PR was approved Oct 24 for Public Assistance (Category B).Current Situation All fires have been extinguished and recovery operations are underway. Shelters are closed; evacuees have returned to their homes; and evacuated inmates have been returned to their correctional facilities. All schools are scheduled to be open today. Maritime operations in San Juan Harbor have returned to normal. Ongoing Actions/objectives: A Joint Field Office (JFO) is being established in Hato Rey, PR. A Public Assistance Applicant Briefing is scheduled for October 27, 2009. Two fema Liaison Officers, four RII IMAT personnel and the Caribbean Area Division are supporting the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico Emergency Management Agency (PREMA). Environmental monitoring and containment is being coordinated through a Unified Command Group (UCG) of EPA, USCG, and PR Environmental Quality Board (PREQB). The UCG will be operating 24 hours a day with 12 hour operational periods. Caribbean Petroleum Corporation (CaPeCo) will implement oil spill containment and recovery operations to prevent additional oil and oily waste discharge. UCG will monitor CaPeCo oil containment operations and assess the current/potential impact to the surrounding wetlands, streams, and ponds in the affected area. Cause of the explosion and fires remains under investigation. (Region II, JFO) Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG) No activity. (fema HQ) Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.Eastern Pacific Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.Western Pacific There are no threats to U.S. interests.Central Pacific Tropical Depression Neki Final Advisory At 5:00 a.m. EDT, the center of TD Neki was located about 665 miles north-northwest of Lihue, Hawaii, moving toward the north-northeast near 36 mph. TD Neki is dissipating, and remnants will continue to move rapidly north-northeast over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gust. Weakening is expected to continue until dissipation.Tropical Storm 23W TS 23W has passed north of Guam and Rota and is moving away from the Mariana Islands. At 11:30 p.m. EDT, Tropical Storm 23W was located 85 miles west-northwest of Rota and 100 miles northwest of Guam, moving west-northwest at 17 mph. This motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are 45 mph, and extend outward up to 85 miles north and 40 miles south of the center. TS 23W is expected to continue tracking west-northwest and intensify over the next 24 hours. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center) Earthquake Activity No new activity (fema HQ) Preliminary Damage Assessments No new activity (fema HQ) Wildfire Update National fire activity as of Monday, October 26: National Preparedness is at Level 1. Initial attack activity is Light (10 new fires) with two uncontained large fires in Arizona and California, and no new large fires reported on Monday.(NIFC)Loma Fire, Santa Cruz County, California Final Update The California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection reports the Loma Fire has consumed about 485 acres of brush and timber and is 55% contained. The fire broke out about 6:00 a.m. EDT Sunday near California Route 17, on the border of Santa Cruz and Santa Clara. Authorities ordered residents to evacuate approximately 150 homes; however, evacuations have been lifted and all roads have reopened. CAL FIRE reports 4 injured in connection with the blaze. One trailer and two outbuildings were destroyed. There is no further threat to structures or personnel; and full containment is expected today. (California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection, CAL FIRE, Region IX) disaster Declaration Activity No new activity (fema HQ)
Thursday, October 29, 2009
Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED) National Weather West: The system now in the Plains will continue to produce snow and gusty winds from Arizona to Montana. Temperatures will be 10 to 30 degrees below average (20s-40s) through the interior West. A warm front moving in off the Pacific will produce rain in Washington and Oregon and the increasing temperatures will result in rising snow levels. Midwest:A frontal system extending from central Canada to Texas will produce widespread precipitation across the center of the country. A wintery mix of rain and snow is forecast for the High Plains from Kansas to North Dakota. A band of rain, rain showers and thunderstorms will extend from the eastern Dakotas to the Great Lakes and south to the lower Mississippi Valley. Some areas will receive more than an inch of precipitation and localized flooding is expected.South: The southern portion of the frontal system discussed above will produce heavy precipitation from central Texas to Georgia. The lower Mississippi Valley may receive more than three inches of precipitation in the next 24 hours and flooding is expected. Thunderstorms in the lower Mississippi Valley have the potential to become severe, producing large hail, gusty winds and even tornadoes. The front will move slowly over the Gulf Coast for the next few days and additional precipitation is forecast.Northeast: Under a large high pressure area the region will have a brief respite from rain. Tomorrow, the approaching frontal system will bring rain showers and gusty winds.(NOAA s National Weather Service, Various Media Sources) Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG) No activity. (fema HQ) Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.Eastern Pacific Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad trough of low pressure extend from the coast of Mexico near Acapulco southeastward for several hundred miles. Slow development of this system is possible over the next couple of days as it remains nearly stationary. There is a low chance (less than 30 percent) of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.Central Pacific Scattered thunderstorms persist along a surface trough located 725 miles south of Hilo, Hawaii. Tropical cyclone development within this area, if any, would be slow to occur as it continues moving to the west near 20 mph. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Friday Afternoon.Western Pacific No activity threatening United States Territories.(NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center) Earthquake Activity No new activity (fema HQ) Preliminary Damage Assessments No new activity (fema HQ) Wildfire Update National Preparedness Level: 1 National Fire Activity as of Wednesday, October 28, 2009 Initial attack activity: Light (24 new fires) New large fires: 1 Large fires contained: 1 Uncontained large fires: 1 States affected: AZ & CA (NIFC) disaster Declaration Activity No new activity (fema HQ)
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED) National Weather West: The frontal system dropping out of the Rockies will continue to produce snow over much of that mountain range as it moves into the northwestern Plains. Snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches are likely with more than a foot expected in higher terrain. Areas as far south as the Desert Southwest will see unseasonable snowfall in conjunction with this front. Some areas behind the front are experiencing temperatures more than 25 degrees below average for this time of year. The Southwest, from California to Texas, will have gusty winds. Sustained winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts over 60 mph are possible across southern Arizona, New Mexico and west Texas. Fire danger will be high in the Desert Southwest, especially California and Arizona due to the strong winds and low relative humidity levels. A new storm system, containing the remnants of Hurricane Neki, will hit the Pacific Northwest tonight. The low pressure center will move into Canada, but the associated frontal system will pass through Washington and Oregon producing 3 to 5 inches of rain in coastal mountains.Midwest: The frontal system dropping out of the Rockies will produce a wintry mix of rain and snow is forecast from the Dakotas to Nebraska. The precipitation will spread southeastward throughout the day. Moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will be transported into the storm enhancing the rain and snow over the Plains. Conditions elsewhere in the region will be dry, but sustained winds are forecast to be 10 to 15 mph with gusts over 25 mph.South: Under high pressure most of the region will get a brief respite from precipitation. The tail end of a cold front will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over northern and central Florida. The southern Plains and Texas will have sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 40 mph by afternoon. The strongest winds are forecast in the mountains of southwest Texas and southern New Mexico, with sustained winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts over 60 mph. Tonight the cold front will move into western Oklahoma and central Texas producing severe thunderstorms and the potential for isolated tornadoes. By tomorrow afternoon the front will move eastward into eastern Oklahoma, eastern Texas, western Arkansas and western Louisiana.Northeast: The low pressure system over the Mid-Atlantic will produce a large band of precipitation that will move across the region today. Widespread rainfall of 1 to 2 inches is possible from Virginia to New England by the time the storm moves off shore tonight.(NOAA s National Weather Service, Various Media Sources) Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG) No activity. (fema HQ) Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.Eastern Pacific Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extend from the coast of Mexico near Acapulco southward for a few hundred miles. Slow development of this system is possible over the next couple of days as it remains nearly stationary. There is a low chance (less than 30 percent) of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.Central Pacific Thunderstorms have increased in an area approximately 975 miles southeast of Honolulu during the past several hours. Tropical cyclone within this area, if any, would be slow to occur as it continues moving to the west near 10 mph. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Thursday morning.Western Pacific Typhoon 23W (Mirinae) At 11:00 p.m. EDT, October 27, the center of Typhoon 23W (Mirinae) was located about 630 miles west-northwest of Guam and poses no further threat to United States Territories.(NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center) Earthquake Activity No new activity (fema HQ) Preliminary Damage Assessments No new activity (fema HQ) Wildfire Update National Preparedness Level: 1 National Fire Activity as of Tuesday, October 27, 2009 Initial attack activity: Light (28 new fires) New large fires: 0 Large fires contained: 0 Uncontained large fires: 1 States affected: CA (NIFC) Loma Fire, Santa Cruz County, California Final Update The Loma Fire started Sunday, 25 Oct, twelve miles northeast of Santa Cruz, CA, on the border of Santa Cruz and Santa Clara Counties. 485 acres of brush and timber have been consumed; the fire is 100% contained. There is no further threat, and mandatory evacuations have been lifted. disaster Declaration Activity No new activity (fema HQ)
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Monday, October 26, 2009
Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED) National Weather SouthHeavy rain and thunderstorms are forecast over central and eastern Texas today. Locally 1 to 3 inches of rain, severe thunderstorms and flash flooding is possible. Tonight rain and thunderstorms in Arkansas and Louisiana are expected; locally heavy showers are possible. A few showers are likely from the Carolina coast to the Florida Peninsula.West Rain will move into western portions of Washington, Oregon and far Northern California, then across the interior Northwest. Snow levels in the Cascades will fall low enough to impact many of the passes; above 4,000 feet accumulation over a foot of snow is possible. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for the Washington Cascades and Olympics through Tuesday. As the front moves inland tonight, rain will change to snow as snow levels move down across the Intermountain West. Strong, gusty winds will develop over portions of the interior Northwest.Midwest Showers are possible from the Great Lakes to Missouri and eastern Kansas. Rain is forecast for the Ohio Valley, Mid-Mississippi Valley, and southern Great Lakes Tuesday.Northeast Some snow or a rain-and-snow mix may impact northern Maine as a weakening upper disturbance moves through. Showers are forecast over the Mid-Atlantic Tuesday as a new system moves in from the South. (NOAA s National Weather Service, Various Media Sources) Puerto Rico Petrochemical Storage Facility Fire An explosion and fire at a petrochemical storage facility near San Juan, Puerto Rico on October 23 is now extinguished. Located in the City of Cantano, 21 of 40 storage tanks containing diesel, gasoline, fuel oil, jet fuel, and other petroleum products were damaged - 17 burned and 4 collapsed. Damage and safety assessments are ongoing. The smoke plume has dissipated, and U.S. Coast Guard reports no HAZMAT release in the maritime environment. All maritime operations in San Juan Harbor are back to normal. The safety zone has been lifted, and MARSEC Level I has been authorized for all facilities.Five firefighters were treated for smoke inhalation. Evacuation orders have been lifted; and evacuees are being allowed to return to their homes. Some homes incurred minor damage. Evacuated prisoners have been returned to correctional facilities. A multi-agency (USCG, FBI, ATF, US Marshals) investigation into the cause of the explosion is ongoing. Federal ActionsEmergency Declaration fema 3306-EM-PR was signed October 24, 2009 for Public Assistance in five Municipalities. Two fema LNOs are deployed to the Puerto Rico Emergency Management Agency (PREMA). Region II RRCC is returning to normal operations at 7:00 a.m. EDT today. The Region deployed four members of the IMAT team to the Caribbean Area Division (CAD) in Puerto Rico.Commonwealth/Local Response The Unified Command Post closed at 6:00 p.m. EDT Sunday and operations returned to PREMA. 353 Puerto Rico National Guard personnel supported recovery efforts over the weekend. No additional federal assistance is anticipated. President Obama signs an Emergency Declaration for H1N1 Flu October 24, 2009: In an effort to proactively address the ongoing pandemic, the President signed a National Emergency Declaration on H1N1 that allows healthcare systems to quickly implement disaster plans should they become overwhelmed. In combination with the Public health Emergency declared by Secretary of health and Human Services (HHS) this declaration gives authority for HHS to waive certain regulatory requirements for healthcare facilities in response to the ongoing pandemic. Specifically, health care facilities will be able to submit waivers to establish alternate care sites and modify patient triage protocols, patient transfer procedures, and other actions that occur when they fully implement disaster operations plans. (CDC) Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG) No activity. (fema HQ) Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.Eastern Pacific Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.Central Pacific Tropical Storm Neki At 5:00 a.m. EDT, the center of Neki was located about 470 miles northwest of Lihue, Hawaii. Neki is moving toward the north near 14 mph, and is expected to accelerate toward the north northeast over the next 48 hours. Neki is forecast to become extratropical by Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected in the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend out 190 miles from the center.Western Pacific There are no threats to U.S. interests. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center) Earthquake Activity No new activity (fema HQ) Preliminary Damage Assessments No new activity (fema HQ) Wildfire Update National fire activity as of Sunday, October 25: National Preparedness is at Level 1. Initial attack activity is extremely light (8 new fires) with no new large fires and only one uncontained large fire reported in Arizona. Since this report was issued a new large fire has been reported in northern California. (NIFC)Loma Fire, Santa Cruz County, CA The Loma Fire started in the early hours of October 25 and has consumed 600 acres near Maymens Flat-Highland Road, Eureka Canyon, and Ormsby in Santa Cruz County, California. The blaze is 20% contained. One trailer and 2 outbuildings have been destroyed, and evacuations are ongoing for north Ormsby Cutoff. 160 structures are threatened and 8 roads have been closed. Cause of the fire is under investigation. (California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection, Region IX) disaster Declaration Activity No new activity (fema HQ)
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